Industria
ALSTOM SA: Alstom Preview Note – Q2 and H1 2024/25 Preview
Alstom Note – Q2 and H1 2024/25 Preview
4 October 2024 – Alstom presents below a preview to its Q2 and H1 2024/25 results.
Q2 2024/25 orders
The table below summarizes the large orders (more than €200m) published and booked during the quarter.
In addition to large orders disclosed in the above table, we remind the guidance for base orders (less than €200 million) which typically account for €1.5b to €2.0b per quarter since the merger with Bombardier.
The table below reminds the breakdown between large and base orders during Q2 for the last three fiscal years, keeping in mind a positive seasonality of small orders on H2 (H2>H1):
At FY 2023/24 release on 8 May 2024, we guided for :
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H1 2024/25 Sales
At FY 2023/24 release on 8 May 2024:
Breakdown of sales by currency is given in the appendix of the FY 2024/25 analysts presentation (page 42): link to the presentation
We expect negative forex impact on sales of ~(0.9)% for the first half of FY 2024/25, primarily due to USD and USD-pegged currencies against EUR.
We expect negative perimeter impact on H1 2024/25 sales of ~(0.7)%
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H1 2024/25 adjusted EBIT
At FY 2023/24 release on 8 May 2024:
During the Q1 analysts call on July 23, 2024:
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Below aEBIT – reminder of FY 2024/25 guidance
At FY 2023/24 release on 8 May 2024, we indicated that they should not exceed (€200m) for the FY 2024/25, including:
We indicated around €200m of P&L net expense for FY 2024/25, with reduction of net interests paid by around €70m but some increase in bank fees and hedging.
The depreciation table on page 46 of the FY 2023/24 presentation: link to the presentation
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Free Cash Flow
At Q1 FY2024/25 trading update, we confirmed
Reminder of main assumptions for guidance:
This document contains forward-looking statements which are based on current plans and forecasts of Alstom's management. Such forward-looking statements are relevant to the current scope of activity and are by their nature subject to a number of important risks and uncertainty factors (such as those described in the documents filed by Alstom with the French AMF) that could cause actual results to differ from the plans, objectives and expectations expressed in such forward-looking statements. These such forward-looking statements speak only as of the date on which they are made, and Alstom undertakes no obligation to update or revise any of them, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
This document does not constitute or form part of a prospectus or any offer or invitation for the sale or issue of, or any offer or inducement to purchase or subscribe for, or any solicitation of any offer to purchase or subscribe for any shares or other securities in the Company in France, the United Kingdom, the United States or any other jurisdiction. Any offer of the Company's securities may only be made in France pursuant to a prospectus having received the visa from the AMF or, outside France, pursuant to an offering document prepared for such purpose. The information does not constitute any form of commitment on the part of the Company or any other person. Neither the information nor any other written or oral information made available to any recipient or its advisers will form the basis of any contract or commitment whatsoever. In particular, in furnishing the information, the Company, its affiliates, shareholders, and their respective directors, officers, advisers, employees or representatives undertake no obligation to provide the recipient with access to any additional information.
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