Telecomunicazioni
Orange :Accelerated growth in third quarter revenue and restated EBITDA, driven by very high-speed broadband and convergence
Paris, 25 October 2016
Third quarter 2016 financial information
Accelerated growth in third quarter revenue and restated EBITDA, driven by very high-speed broadband and convergence
In France, mobile contract net additions remained at a high level (+187,000 in the 3 quarter), confirming the attractiveness of Orange's segmented offers. Fixed broadband was also very buoyant, with 134,000 net additions in the 3 quarter, led by fibre (+126,000) with 1.308 million customers at 30 September 2016.
In Spain, fixed broadband growth continued to be very strong with 194,000 net fibre additions in the 3 quarter and 1.411 million fibre customers at 30 September 2016. Mobile contracts climbed steadily, with 94,000 net additions in the 3 quarter, a stronger performance than in the 3 quarter of 2015.
In Poland, the commercial performance was very satisfactory with 309,000 net mobile contract additions (the highest level in several years), after three quarters of already strong growth. In Belgium, the mobile contract customer base rose for the sixth consecutive quarter.
In Africa and the Middle East, the mobile customer base at 30 September 2016 was 113.5 million customers and included Tigo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (3.4 million customers) and Cellcom in Liberia (1.5 million customers), both of which were consolidated in the 3 quarter. The trend in net additions improved significantly with 103,000 net customer additions in the 3 quarter after a decrease of 1.4 million customers in the 2 quarter, on a comparable basis. Orange Money had 20 million customers at 30 September 2016 (+30% year on year).
Growth accelerated in Spain, rising 7.8% in the 3 quarter after an increase of 6.2% in the 2 quarter. Growth resumed in the Belgium and Luxembourg segment (+1.7%), and the trend improved in the Enterprise segment (+0.7%). France posted a modest decline of 0.6% in the 3 quarter, while revenues rose 2.5% in Africa and the Middle East in the 3 quarter following growth of 2.3% in the 2 quarter.
2016 outlook
For the full-year 2016, Orange confirms that restated EBITDA will be greater than that of 2015 on a comparable basis. This objective will be supported by continued commercial momentum, investments, and efforts to improve the cost structure.
The Group also confirms the target of a restated ratio of net debt to EBITDA of around 2x in the medium term to preserve Orange's financial strength and investment capacity. Within this framework, the Group is maintaining a policy of selective, value-creating acquisitions concentrating on markets in which it is already present.
The Group plans to propose the payment of a dividend of 0.60 euros per share for 2016 . An interim dividend for 2016 of 0.20 euros per share will be paid on 7 December 2016 .
Commenting on the publication of the results for the first nine months of 2016, Stéphane Richard, Chairman & Chief Executive Officer of the Orange Group, stated:
*
* *
The Board of Directors of Orange SA met on 24 October 2016 and examined the Group's results for the period ended 30 September 2016.
The financial data and comparable basis data in this press release are unaudited data.
More detailed information is available on the Orange website:
www.orange.com
* EBITDA restatements are described in appendix 2.
Revenues
Orange Group revenues for the first nine months of the year were 30.401 billion euros. An increase of 0.8% in the 3 quarter of 2016, after rising 0.3% in both the 1 half of 2016 and the 2 half of 2015 (on a comparable basis), confirmed the improving trend despite the impact of decreased national roaming in France and roaming price reductions in Europe.
The Group's revenues grew 0.5% in the first nine months of the year on a comparable basis . Fixed broadband services rose 5.1% at 30 September 2016, led by fibre and TV content in France and Spain, while mobile services rose 0.4%.
The revenue trends in the 3 quarter of 2016 were as follows by region (on a comparable basis):
In France, the growth of fixed broadband services remained strong (+5.8% in the 3 quarter), led by fibre and TV content. Mobile services declined 3.8%, marked in particular by the downturn in national roaming and roaming price reductions in Europe.
In Europe, revenues rose 2.8% in the 3 quarter after rising 1.9% in the 2 quarter, led by growth in Spain:
Africa and the Middle East grew 2.5% after an increase of 2.3% in the 2 quarter, led by Egypt, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire and Mali.
Enterprise segment: IT and integration services rose 4.1% in the quarter, led by security and Cloud services, while connectivity (voice and data services) was relatively stable.
Customer base growth
In France, mobile contracts (25.8 million customers at 30 September 2016) climbed 8.7% and represented 87.3% of the mobile customer base at that date (+3.3 percentage points year on year). In Europe, mobile contracts (32.9 million customers) were up 6.6% year on year and represented 63.9% of the mobile customer base (+2.5 percentage points in one year). The increase in contracts in the Europe zone principally related to Poland and Spain.
Africa and the Middle East had 113.5 million mobile customers at 30 September 2016, including Tigo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo (3.4 million customers) and Cellcom in Liberia (1.5 million customers), which were consolidated in the 3 quarter. The trend in net additions improved significantly with the addition of 103,000 customers in the 3 quarter, after a decrease of 1.4 million customers in the 2 quarter (on a comparable basis), which had been impacted in particular by customer identity verification processes coming into force in most countries. On a comparable basis, the mobile customer base of the Africa and the Middle East segment declined 1.9% year on year.
The Group had a total of 194.5 million mobile services customers at 30 September 2016, an increase of 0.2% year on year (+294,000 additional customers) on a comparable basis.
There were 18.1 million fixed broadband customers at 30 September 2016, an increase of 3.3% year on year on a comparable basis with 582,000 additional customers, including 443,000 in France and 197,000 in Spain. Fixed broadband subscribers included 2.898 million fibre subscribers at 30 September 2016, with 1.411 million in Spain and 1.308 million in France.
Meanwhile, there were 8.2 million TV customers at 30 September 2016, compared with 7.7 million at 30 September 2015 on a comparable basis, a year-on-year increase of 7.1%.
Restated EBITDA
Restated EBITDA was 9.510 billion euros in the first nine months of 2016, an increase of 0.2% (+19 million euros) on a comparable basis, and the restated EBITDA margin was 31.3%, nearly stable in relation to the first nine months of 2015 (-0.1 percentage point).
In the 3 quarter of 2016, restated EBITDA rose 1.6% (+58 million euros) to 3.597 billion euros while the restated EBITDA margin was 34.9% (+0.3 percentage points) on a comparable basis compared to the 3 quarter of 2015.
The increase in restated EBITDA in the 3 quarter of 2016 was mainly tied to revenue growth (+82 million euros), while commercial expenses and content costs increased 58 million euros to support business growth.
The other operating costs were down 33 million euros: the reduced labour expenses were partially offset by increased operating taxes (particularly in the Africa and Middle East segment), while other expenses remained stable, thanks in particular to the actions carried out under the Explore2020 operational efficiency improvement plan.
CAPEX
CAPEX reached 4.733 billion euros in the first nine months of 2016 , up 5.3% in relation to the first nine months of 2015, on a comparable basis. The ratio of CAPEX to revenues was 15.6%, an increase of 0.7 percentage points compared to 30 September 2015.
Investments in fibre rose strongly (+14.6% compared with the first nine months of 2015) and mainly related to France and Spain. There were 6.3 million households with connectivity in France at 30 September 2016, 9.0 million in Spain, and 1.2 million in Poland.
Investments in very high-speed mobile services increased 14.4% compared to the first nine months of 2015. At 30 September 2016, 84% of the population in France had 4G coverage, 89% in Spain, 97% in Poland, 99.5% in Belgium, 74% in Romania, 77% in Slovakia and 96% in Moldova. In Africa and the Middle East, 4G was commercially launched in 10 countries: Botswana, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Guinea-Bissau, Jordan, Liberia, Morocco, Mauritius, Senegal and Tunisia. At the same time, 4G+ deployment continued in France and in the other European countries.
There was also an increase in investments in customer equipment, with Orange's new Livebox marketed since May 19 , and information systems (datacentres in France, integration of Jazztel in Spain, and customer relations in Africa and the Middle East).
The modernisation of stores continued, mainly in France with the opening of 14 new Smart Stores in the 3 quarter of 2016, bringing the total in France to 37.
Changes in asset portfolio
The four companies recently acquired in Africa have gradually been consolidated in the Group's financial statements. Cellcom in Liberia and Tigo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo were fully consolidated at 30 September 2016. The two subsidiaries acquired from the Bharti Airtel group in Burkina Faso and Sierra Leone will be consolidated in the 4 quarter.
Orange announced on 20 July 2016 that, through its entity Orange Business Services, it had acquired Log'in Consultants, a business dedicated to integration services for workstation virtualisation.
In early October, the French and European regulatory and prudential authorities authorised Orange to acquire 65% of the capital of Groupama Banque, which will be renamed Orange Bank in January 2017. The Orange Bank offering will be available in France in the first half of 2017.
On 18 October 2016, Orange acquired 100% of the capital of Sun Communications, the leading supplier of paid television in Moldova, which will enable Orange to market broadband convergent offers in the country.
France
Revenues in France showed a modest decline of 0.6% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after falling 1.7% in the 2 quarter on a comparable basis. They benefited from an improvement in the trend for mobile services to operators (particularly MVNOs and network sharing) and a recovery in mobile equipment sales (+11.4% after a 1.8% decrease in the 2 quarter).
Mobile services declined 3.8% in the 3 quarter of 2016. They continued to be affected by lower revenues from the national roaming contract and the reduction of roaming prices in Europe, as well as the impact of the rapid growth of SIM-only offers, which represented 61% of consumer contracts at 30 September 2016 (+13 percentage points year on year). The Open convergent offers and the Sosh offers continued to post strong growth, with 7.569 million Open customers at 30 September 2016 (+11.2% year on year) and 3.209 million Sosh customers (+13.9% year on year). The total contract customer base (20.644 million customers at 30 September 2016) recorded year-on-year growth of 2.8%. There were 10.3 million 4G customers at that same date representing 50% of the contract customer base .
Fixed services grew 0.7% in the 3 quarter of 2016. Growth of fixed broadband services accelerated (+5.8% in the 3 quarter after rising 4.4% in the 2 quarter), led by growth of the customer base and an increase in ARPU. The fixed broadband customer base had 11.056 million subscribers at 30 September 2016 (+4.2% year on year). It included 1.308 million fibre subscribers, compared with 827,000 one year earlier, a year-on-year increase of 58%. ARPU rose 0.5% as at 30 September 2016, reflecting the growing share of fibre and premium offers (Play and Jet offers) and the development of TV content offers. Convergent offers represented 51% of the fixed broadband customer base at 30 September 2016 (+3 percentage points in one year).
Traditional telephony fell 11.2% in the 3 quarter of 2016 while fixed services to operators rose 2.1% with growth in the number of broadband subscriptions marketed to operators and in related collection and transmission services.
Europe
Revenues from the Europe zone increased 2.8% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after climbing 1.9% in the 2 quarter, led in particular by strong growth in Spain (+7.8% in the 3 quarter after rising 6.2% in the 2 quarter).
For the Europe zone as a whole, revenues from mobile services increased 3.3% in the 3 quarter. The contract customer base had 32.9 million customers at 30 September 2016, an increase of 6.6% year on year, and represented 63.9% of the total mobile customer base at that date (+2.5 percentage points in one year). The marketing of contracts continued to be brisk, with 550,000 net additions in the 3 quarter after 585,000 in the 2 quarter.
Revenues from fixed broadband rose 4.8% in the 3 quarter, reflecting the rapid development of fibre and of TV content offers in Spain. The fixed broadband customer base had 6.1 million customers at 30 September 2016 (+2.0% year on year), including 1.5 million fibre customers, mainly in Spain. At 30 September 2016, the fixed broadband customer base also included the first customers of recently marketed convergent offers, which were offered via cable in Belgium and via fibre in Romania.
Spain
The revenue trend in Spain improved for the sixth consecutive quarter, with growth of 7.8% posted in the 3 quarter of 2016 after the increases of 6.2% in the 2 quarter and 1.8% in the 1 quarter (on a comparable basis).
This reflected the mobile services trend, which rose 9.8% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after rising 8.9% in the 2 quarter and 4.4% in the 1 quarter. These services benefited from the richer offers that began at the end of 2015, and from 4G deployment, with 7.2 million customers at 30 September 2016 (1.6x increase in one year). The customer base continued to grow, with the number of contract customers (12.5 million at 30 September 2016) increasing 5.4% year on year, while the number of prepaid offer customers (3.3 million) increased 1.0%.
Fixed services rose 4.6% in the 3 quarter of 2016, a continuation of the two previous quarters. Fixed broadband revenues continued to climb sharply (+7.8% in the 3 quarter). There were 3.886 million fixed broadband customers at 30 September 2016 (+5.3% year on year), and quarterly ARPU rose 2.6%. Fibre experienced very strong growth, with 1.411 million customers at that date (2.5x increase in one year) and represented 36% of the fixed broadband customer base (+21 percentage points in one year). TV services also rose rapidly, with 458,000 customers at 30 September 2016 (2.1x increase in one year), led by the success of content offers and in particular the broadcast of football championships. Meanwhile, convergent offers represented 83% of the fixed broadband customer base at 30 September 2016 (+2.4 percentage points in one year).
Poland
Revenues in Poland declined 3.9% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after falling 3.5% in the 2 quarter, on a comparable basis.
Mobile services decreased 3.1% in the 3 quarter. ARPU erosion followed the same trend as in the previous quarters, in connection with the development of SIM-only offers, multi-SIM offers and convergent offers. In the third quarter, commercial momentum was particularly strong, with 309,000 net contract additions, due to the success of commercial activities and to increased customer migrations from prepaid offers to contracts. In all, the contract customer base (9.085 million customers at 30 September 2016) recorded growth of +12.3% year on year. 4G continued to develop rapidly, with 3.8 million users at 30 September 2016 (2.4x increase in one year), and the number of convergent offers (837,000 customers at that same date) increased 25.5% year on year. The number of pre-paid offer customers declined 600,000 in the 3 quarter, linked to the introduction of customer identity verification requirements, though this had a limited impact on the revenue trend.
Growth continued to be buoyant in mobile equipment sales (+51.2% in the 3 quarter), led by the development of sales using an instalment payment plan.
Fixed services declined 8.6% in the 3 quarter. Traditional telephony fell 13.0% and fixed broadband decreased 6.8%, impacted by a decline in the number of clients and price reductions occurring in 2015. Commercial activity in very high-speed broadband (VDSL and fibre) was brisk: there were 44,000 net additions in the 3 quarter, including 18,000 additional fibre customers. At 30 September 2016, there were 436,000 customers of very high-speed offers (VDSL and fibre), a year-on-year increase of 61%. The fixed broadband customer base had 2.025 million customers at 30 September 2016 (-5.0% year on year).
Other revenues declined significantly in the 3 quarter in connection with the end of infrastructure projects occurring in the 4 quarter of 2015 and the decreased revenues from ICT.
Belgium & Luxembourg
Revenues in Belgium and Luxembourg increased 1.7% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after decreasing 1.6% in the 2 quarter. The return to growth in the 3 quarter was linked in particular to a recovery in mobile equipment sales after the 2 quarter downturn.
Mobile services were relatively stable in the 3 quarter (-0.1%). The impact of roaming price decreases in Europe, effective from 30 April, was compensated by growth in the contract customer base and an increase in contract ARPU (+1.5%). The mobile contract customer base (2.335 million customers at 30 September 2016) continued to grow steadily (+2.9% year on year) and there were 1.4 million 4G users at 30 September 2016 (+65% year on year). The MVNO customer base had 1.992 million customers at 30 September 2016 (+17.3% year on year).
At 30 September 2016, Orange Belgium had 17,600 customers of the new Internet + TV convergent offers, with a strong increase in September additions supported by the first advertising campaign devoted to the new offers.
Central European countries
Revenues in the Central European Countries rose 0.8% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after rising 1.5% in the 2 quarter (on a comparable basis).
In Romania, revenues increased 3.3% in the 3 quarter, as they did in the 2 quarter, led by mobile services (incoming traffic). TV services had 315,000 customers at 30 September 2016 (+26.3% year on year). The first very high-speed fixed service offers , launched last May in three cities, have been marketed at a national level since September 5 .
In Slovakia, revenues fell 2.7% in the 3 quarter, after declining 1.0% in the 2 quarter. The downturn between the two quarters concerned fixed services to operators, while mobile services continued to be impacted by the erosion of ARPU.
In Moldova, revenues fell 3.7% in the 3 quarter, after declining 6.1% in the 2 quarter (on a comparable basis). The mobile services trend improved but continued to be impacted by the significant downturn in incoming international traffic.
The mobile customer base of the Central European Countries had 15.3 million customers at 30 September 2016. Contracts (8.1 million customers) increased 4.4% and represented 52.9% of the mobile customer base at 30 September 2016 (+2.5 percentage points in one year). The 4G mobile customer base had 2.8 million customers at that same date, an increase of 1.2 million since the beginning of the year. There were 165,000 fixed broadband customers, an increase of 10.6% year on year.
Africa & Middle East
Revenues from the Africa and Middle East segment rose 2.5% in the 3 quarter of 2016 on a comparable basis. Excluding the two entities consolidated for the first time at 30 September 2016 (Tigo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and Cellcom in Liberia), growth was 3.1% in the 3 quarter, an improvement of 0.8 percentage points compared with the 2 quarter (+2.3%), while revenues continued to be impacted by the strengthened requirement for customer identity verification in most countries.
Mobile services rose 3.5% in the 3 quarter, led by data services, where growth continued to be strong (+34% in the 3 quarter). Similarly, Orange Money revenues increased 48% in the 3 quarter. Orange Money had 20 million customers at 30 September 2016 (+30% year on year).
The principal contributors to revenue growth in the 3 quarter were Egypt, Guinea, Côte d'Ivoire and Mali.
The mobile customer base of the Africa and Middle East segment had 113.5 million customers at 30 September 2016, after reaching 108.5 million at 30 June. The addition of 5.0 million customers in the 3 quarter largely corresponded to the contributions from the two new companies consolidated at 30 September 2016: 3.4 million customers from Tigo in the Democratic Republic of the Congo and 1.5 million from Cellcom in Liberia. The net additions trend improved with the addition of 103,000 customers in the 3 quarter, after a decrease of 1.4 million customers in the 2 quarter (on a comparable basis) in connection with the strengthened requirement for verification of customer identities in most countries.
On 13 October 2016, Orange Egypt acquired a 4G licence for 15 years encompassing two blocks of 10 MHz spectrum and a virtual fixed operator's licence for 498 million USD. This acquisition gave Orange Egypt wider spectrum and allowed it to offer its customers better service quality than was envisaged at 30 June 2016; the financial terms were also different from those predicted at 30 June 2016, with a price of more than 102 million USD and payment in full made in 2016 rather than being spread out over three years.
Enterprise
Revenues from the Enterprise segment increased 0.7% in the 3 quarter of 2016 after rising 0.3% in the 2 quarter, on a comparable basis. Growth of 1.0% was achieved over the first nine months of the year, led by IT and integration services (+4.5%).
Voice services fell a modest 1.5% in the 3 quarter, as in the 2 quarter. The downward trend of traditional telephony was largely offset by the growth of voice-over-IP and customer relations services (contact number services).
Data services remained stable at -0.3% in the 3 quarter after rising 0.5% in the 2 quarter. Revenues from IPVPN subscribers continued to rise steadily (+1.7% in the 3 quarter), offsetting the downturn in legacy data services. There were 351,000 IPVPN subscribers at 30 September 2016, growth of 0.6% year on year.
IT and integration services rose 4.1% in the 3 quarter after climbing 1.2% in the 2 quarter. The Cloud and security services continued their strong growth, at 16% and 8% respectively in the 3 quarter.
International Carriers & Shared Services
Revenues from the International Carriers and Shared Services segment fell 4.7% in the 3 quarter of 2016 on a comparable basis, mostly in connection with the downturn in services to international carriers.
23 February 2017: presentation of 2016 results
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This press release contains forward-looking statements about Orange. Although we believe these statements are based on reasonable assumptions, they are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties, including matters not yet known to us or not currently considered material by us, and there can be no assurance that anticipated events will occur or that the objectives set out will actually be achieved. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ from the results anticipated in the forward-looking statements include, among others: the success of Orange's strategy, particularly its ability to maintain control over customer relations when facing competition with OTT players, Orange's ability to withstand intense competition in mature markets and business activities, its ability to capture growth opportunities in emerging markets and the risks specific to those markets, fiscal and regulatory constraints and changes, and the results of litigation regarding regulations, competition and other matters, the success of Orange's French and international investments, joint ventures and strategic partnerships in situations in which it may not have control of the enterprise, and in countries presenting additional risk, risks related to information and communications technology systems generally, including networks or software failures due to cyberattacks, damage to networks caused by natural disasters, voluntary acts or other reasons, loss or disclosure to third parties of customers data, health concerns surrounding telecommunications equipment and devices, Orange's credit ratings, its ability to access capital markets and the state of capital markets in general, exchange rate or interest rate fluctuations, and changes in assumptions underlying the carrying amount value of certain assets and resulting in their impairment. More detailed information on the potential risks that could affect our financial results will be found in the Registration Document and in the annual report on Form 20-F filed on April 4, 2016 with, respectively, the French Autorité des Marchés Financiers (AMF) and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. Other than as required by law (in particular pursuant to sections 223-1 and seq. of the General Regulations of the AMF), Orange does not undertake any obligation to update them in light of new information or future developments.
* EBITDA restatements are described on the following page.
Key figures
Comparable basis: data based on comparable accounting principles, scope of consolidation and exchange rates are presented for previous periods. The transition from data on an historical basis to data on a comparable basis consists of keeping the results for the period ended and then restating the results for the corresponding period of the preceding year for the purpose of presenting, over comparable periods, financial data with comparable accounting principles, scope of consolidation and exchange rate. The method used is to apply to the data of the corresponding period of the preceding year, the accounting principles and scope of consolidation for the period just ended as well as the average exchange rate used for the income statement for the period ended.
Reported EBITDA: operating income before depreciation and amortisation, before revaluation related to acquisitions of controlling interests, before impairment of goodwill and assets, and before income from associates. EBITDA is not a financial aggregate as defined by IFRS standards and may not be directly comparable to similarly named indicators in other companies.
Restated EBITDA: Reported EBITDA (see definition), adjusted for the impacts of key disputes, specific labour expenses, the review of the portfolio of shares and operations, the cost of restructuring and, as applicable, other specific and systematically identified items. Since the 1st quarter of 2016, restated EBITDA excludes all income from the disposal of shares and operations, regardless of the amount, and the restated EBITDA for past periods was revised accordingly. Restated EBITDA is not a financial aggregate as defined by IFRS standards and may not be directly comparable to similarly named indicators in other companies.
CAPEX: capital expenditure on tangible and intangible assets excluding telecommunication licences and investments through finance leases. CAPEX is not a financial performance indicator as defined by IFRS standards and may not be directly comparable to indicators referenced by the same name in other companies.
Mobile services
Revenues from mobile services: include revenues generated by incoming and outgoing calls (voice, SMS and data services), network access fees, added-value services, machine to machine, roaming revenues from customers of other networks (national and international roaming), revenues with mobile virtual network operators (MVNO) and revenues from network sharing.
Mobile ARPU: the annual average revenues per user (ARPU) are calculated by dividing the revenues from incoming and outgoing calls (voice, SMS and data services), network access fees, added-value services and visitor roaming over the past twelve months, by the weighted average number of customers over the same period, excluding "machine to machine" customers. The weighted average number of customers is the average of the monthly averages during the period in question. The monthly average is the arithmetic mean of the number of customers at the start and end of the month. Mobile ARPU is expressed as monthly revenues per customer.
Roaming: use of a mobile service on the network of an operator other than that of the subscriber.
MVNO: Mobile Virtual Network Operator. These are operators that do not have their own radio network and thus use the infrastructure of third-party networks.
Fixed services
Includes traditional fixed telephony, fixed broadband services, enterprise solutions and networks and carrier services (notably national and international interconnections, unbundling and wholesale telephone line rentals).
Fixed broadband ARPU (ADSL, FTTH, VDSL, satellite and WiMAX): the average revenues per user (ARPU) of broadband services per year are calculated by dividing the revenues generated by retail broadband services over the past twelve months by the weighted average number of accesses over the same period. The weighted average number of accesses is the average of the monthly averages during the period in question. The monthly average is the arithmetic mean of the number of accesses at the start and end of the month. Fixed broadband ARPU is expressed as monthly revenues per access.
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